Typhoon Lupit is forecast to strike the Philippines at about 06:00 GMT on 21 October. Data supplied by the US Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Center suggest that the point of landfall will be near 18.0 N, 122.3 E. Lupit is expected to bring 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around 222 km/h (138 mph). Wind gusts in the area may be considerably higher.
According to the Saffir-Simpson damage scale the potential property damage and flooding from a storm of Lupit's strength (category 4) at landfall includes:
- Storm surge generally 4.0-5.5 metres (13-18 feet) above normal.
- Curtainwall failures with some complete roof structure failures on small residences.
- Shrubs, trees, and all signs are blown down.
- Complete destruction of mobile homes.
- Extensive damage to doors and windows.
- Low-lying escape routes may be cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the centre of the storm.
- Major damage to lower floors of structures near the shore.
- Terrain lower than 3 metres (10 feet) above sea level may be flooded requiring massive evacuation of residential areas as far inland as 10 km (6 miles).
There is also the potential for flooding further inland due to heavy rain.
The information above is provided for guidance only and should not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to property. Anyone in the region who is concerned for their personal safety or property should contact their official national weather agency or warning centre for advice.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and University College London (UCL). TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
http://www.alertnet.org/thefacts/reliefresources/TSR/200922W_22W.htm

Message appended on October 16, 2009 09:10PMHere's the latest NASA Satellite View of Typhoon Ramil (International name-Lupit)
3 PM JST Fri Oct 16 2009
Position 13.9N 136.0E
Maximum Winds 75mph
Gusts 90mph
Movement WNW at 18mph

Here's the latest 5 Day Forecast Map View of Typhoon Ramil (International name-Lupit)

Here's the latest Track Map View of Typhoon Ramil (International name-Lupit)
Message appended on October 17, 2009 05:59PM2009-10-17 17:30 JST
Typhoon RAMIL (International name-LUPIT) keeps the intensification stage in east of Philippines. This typhoon is showing a very smooth intensification since the formation, and is expected to intensify further more to become a very strong typhoon.

An Updated NASA Satellite View of typhoon Ramil (International Name-Lupit)
3 PM JST Sat Oct 17 2009
Position 15.6N 132.3E
Maximum Winds 110mph
Gusts 130mph
Movement NW at 9mph

An Updated 5 Day Forecast Map View of Typhoon Ramil (International name-Lupit) 17 Oct 2009 pm

An Updated Track Map View of Typhoon Ramil (International name-Lupit) 17 Oct 2009 pm
Message appended on October 18, 2009 09:43PMTyphoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun October 18 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY LUPIT (RAMIL)
LUPIT (RAMIL) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 240 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 185 kph
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 170 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 165 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 165 km/hr
SUPER TYPHOON LUPIT [RAMIL/22W/0920]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 014
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sun 18 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #018
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
- · LUPIT(RAMIL) has rapidly intensified...now classified as a Super Typhoon, with 1-min. avg winds of 240 km/hr...still heading ENE across the Philippine Sea.
*Residents and visitors along Luzon (Northern Philippines) should closely monitor the progress of LUPIT (RAMIL).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: LUPIT is expected to slow down further for the next 24 hours, as the influence of the mid-level low pressure trough off Japan on this system dissipates. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows LUPIT returning back to its Westward path, as the High Pressure Steering Ridge building off China strengthens and moves across east of Taiwan. This ridge will steer LUPIT into Extreme Northern Luzon & South China Sea from Tuesday until Friday (Oct 19-23), reaching the Category 5 treshold strength (250 kph). LUPIT shall pass very close to the coastal beach front areas of Northern Cagayan and Ilocos Norte, with a close approach of about 5 to 15 km. to the north of Pagudpod, Ilocos Norte on Thursday afternoon, Oct 22nd. *Alternate Forecast Scenario: There is a possibility that LUPIT might do a clockwise loop and track more WSW-ward than forecasted with a strike across Northern or Central Luzon. This scenario is likely if the high pressure steering ridge located off Eastern China strengthens more. This alternate forecast remains low at this time. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a shift to the left or right of its future track and other conditions must be considered.
+ Effects: LUPIT's large circulation has become more impressive, w/ a 40-km. slightly irregular Eye. Its outer & inner rain bands remains at sea...not affecting any major islands at this time. LUPIT may begin to affect Northern Luzon - if the forecast track becomes a reality, thus deteriorating weathern conditions can be expected beginning Tuesday (Oct 20). 1-day rainfall accumulations of 75 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along its rainbands...with isolated accumulations of 400 mm or more (very heavy to extreme rain) near the center of LUPIT particularly along its projected path.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sun October 18 2009
Location of Eye: 17.6º N Lat 134.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 1,140 km (615 nm) NE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 1,240 km (670 nm) NE of Metro Naga/CWC
Distance 3: 1,275 km (690 nm) ENE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 4: 1,305 km (705 nm) East of Tuguegarao City
Distance 5: 1,305 km (705 nm) ESE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 6: 1,415 km (765 nm) ENE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 240 kph (130 kts) near the Eye
Peak Wind Gusts: 295 kph (160 kts)
Rainbands' Rain Rate: 2 to 30 mm/hr (.02 to 1.2 in/hr) new!
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 4
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 13-18 feet [4.0-5.5 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 926 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: ENE @ 13 kph (07 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Extreme Northern Luzon
Size (in Diameter): 905 km (490 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 27 ft (8.2 m)
T2K TrackMap #012 (for Public):6 PM PST Sun Oct 18
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:2 PM Sun Oct 18
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Sun Oct 18
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Image: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Image: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/micro.html
Super Typhoon Ramil (International name-Lupit) latest NASA Satellite View
3PM JST Sun Oct 18 2009
Position 17.3N 133.5 E
Maximum Winds 150mph
Gusts 185mph
Movement ENE at 6mph

Here's the latest Track Map View of Super Typhoon Ramil (International name-Lupit) 18 Oct 2009 pm

Here's the latest 5 Day Forecast Map View of Super Typhoon Ramil (International name-Lupit) 18 Oct 2009 pm

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun October 18 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY LUPIT (RAMIL)
LUPIT (RAMIL) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 250 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 215 kph
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 180 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
SUPER TYPHOON LUPIT [RAMIL/22W/0920]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 016
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Mon 19 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #021
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
- · Extremely Dangerous Super TyphoonLUPIT(RAMIL) has turned back...now heading NW...threatens Northern Luzon.
*Residents and visitors along the Island of Luzon (Northern Philippines) should closely monitor the progress of LUPIT (RAMIL).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: LUPIT is expected to start accelerating WNW to Westward w/in the next 24 to 48 hours. Its wind speed will start to decay as it moves closer to Northern Luzon. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows LUPIT moving into a WSW direction, as the High Pressure Steering Ridge building off China strengthens and extends across Ryukyu & Okinawan Islands. This ridge will steer LUPIT into Extreme Northern Luzon...making landfall over Northern Cagayan approx 5 to 6 PM on Thursday Oct 22...passing very close to Aparri around 8 PM. The core of LUPIT shall cross Abra, Kalinga and exit over Ilocos Sur Thursday evening and shall be over the South China Sea Friday morning, Oct 23 - turning WNW towards Hainan Island-Vietnam Area on Saturday Oct 24. *Alternate Forecast Scenario: There is a possibility that LUPIT might track more WSW-ward earlier than expected with a strike across Northern or Central Luzon via Isabela. This scenario is likely if the high pressure steering ridge located off Eastern China strengthens more and dig deeper southward. This alternate forecast still remains low at this time. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a shift to the left or right of its future track and other conditions must be considered.
+ Effects: LUPIT's large circulation continues to exhibit impressive convective bands in all quadrants, w/ a 50-km. Round Eye. Its outer & inner rain bands remains at sea...not affecting any major islands at this time. LUPIT may begin to affect Northern Luzon beginning late Wednesday (Oct 21) - if the forecast track becomes a reality, thus deteriorating weather conditions can be expected. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 75 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along its rainbands...with isolated accumulations of 400 mm or more (very heavy to extreme rain) near the center of LUPIT particularly along its projected path.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Mon October 19 2009
Location of Eye: 19.0º N Lat 133.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 1,150 km (620 nm) NE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 1,205 km (650 nm) ESE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 3: 1,235 km (667 nm) ENE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 4: 1,235 km (667 nm) ENE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 5: 1,240 km (670 nm) NE of Metro Naga/CWC
Distance 6: 1,240 km (670 nm) ENE of Ilagan City
Distance 7: 1,245 km (672 nm) ENE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 8: 1,375 km (753 nm) NE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 250 kph (135 kts) near the Eye
Peak Wind Gusts: 305 kph (165 kts)
Rainbands' Rain Rate: 2 to 30 mm/hr (.02 to 1.2 in/hr) new!
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [>5.5 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 919 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Extreme Northern Luzon
Size (in Diameter): 890 km (480 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 32 ft (9.7 m)
T2K TrackMap #014 (for Public):12 PM PST Mon Oct 19
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:8 AM Mon Oct 19
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Mon Oct 19
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Image: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Image: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/micro.html

Here's the latest NASA Satellite View of Super Typhoon Ramil (International name-Lupit) 19 Oct 2009

Here's the latest 5 Day Forecast Map of Super Typhoon Ramil (International name-Lupit) 19 Oct 2009

Here's the latest Track Map of Super Typhoon Ramil (International-Lupit) 19 Oct 2009

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tue October 20 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TY LUPIT (RAMIL)
LUPIT (RAMIL) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 165 kph
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 165 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 165 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
TYPHOON LUPIT [RAMIL/22W/0920]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 019
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Tue 20 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #025
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
- · TyphoonLUPIT(RAMIL) continues to weaken while cruising the Northern Philippine Sea...remains in an area of drier and stable air...downgraded to Category 2...may start to turn West to WSW tonight or tomorrow...more Philippine Storm Warning Signals (PSWS) raised (see below for more details).
*Residents and visitors along the Island of Luzon (particularly Northern Luzon) should closely monitor the progress of LUPIT (RAMIL).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: LUPIT is expected to slightly decelerate and turn more westerly to WSW-ward w/in the next 12 to 24 hours. Its wind speed will slighty strengthen back to Category 3 (185 kph) as it moves closer to Northern Luzon due to improve atmospheric conditions (warm ocean moisture & unstable air). The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows LUPIT approaching the coast of Cagayan on a WSW direction, as the High Pressure Steering Ridge building off China strengthens and steer the dangerous typhoon. LUPIT shall make landfall over Eastern Cagayan on Thursday evening Oct 22...passing to the south of Aparri or north of Tuguegarao City around early Friday morning Oct 23. It shall cross Kalinga and exit thru Ilocos Sur Friday afternoon and evening Oct 23 and over the South China Sea on Saturday morning, Oct 24. The typhoon shall move westward while over the South China Sea, in the direction of Hainan Island-Vietnam Area on Sunday Oct 25. *Alternate Forecast Scenario: There is a possibility that LUPIT might track more WSW-ward earlier than expected with a strike across the southern part of Northern Luzon thru Isabela Province, Benguet & La Union. This scenario is likely if the high pressure steering ridge located off Eastern China strengthens more and dig deeper southward. The probability of this alternate forecast still remains low. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a shift to the left or right of its future track and other conditions must be considered.
+ Effects: LUPIT's large circulation continues to deteriorate while moving into an area of drier & stable air. The eye remains cloud-filled as shown on current satellite images. Its outer & inner rain bands remains at sea...not yet affecting any major islands at this time. LUPIT may begin to affect Northern Luzon beginning tomorrow (Oct 21) - if the forecast movement continues...deteriorating weather conditions expected. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 75 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along its rainbands...with isolated accumulations of 400 mm or more (very heavy to extreme rain) near the center of LUPIT particularly along its projected path.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Tue October 20 2009
Location of Eye: 20.4º N Lat 130.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 835 km (452 nm) East of Basco, Batanes
Distance 2: 900 km (487 nm) ENE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 3: 925 km (500 nm) ENE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 4: 935 km (515 nm) NE of Ilagan City
Distance 5: 955 km (515 nm) NE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 6: 1,045 km (565 nm) NE of Naga City
Distance 7: 1,140 km (615 nm) NE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 175 kph (95 kts) near the Eye
Peak Wind Gusts: 215 kph (115 kts)
Rainbands' Rain Rate: 2 to 30 mm/hr (.02 to 1.2 in/hr) new!
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 2
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 6-8 feet [1.8-2.6 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 952 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Extreme Northern Luzon
Size (in Diameter): 890 km (480 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 33 ft (10.0 m)
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:8 AM Tue Oct 20
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Tue Oct 20
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Image: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Image: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2)
Now In Effect: BATANES ISLAND GROUP, CAGAYAN, CALAYAN & BABUYAN ISLANDS, & ISABELA.
The above areas will experience stormy weather beginning tomorrow afternoon (with winds not exceeding 100 kph). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts.
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
Now In Effect:ILOCOS NORTE, APAYAO, ABRA, KALINGA, MOUNTAIN PROVINCE, IFUGAO, NUEVA VIZCAYA, QUIRINO, AURORA, & POLILLO ISLAND.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph beginning tonight or tomorrow. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/micro.html
Here's the latest typhoon Information and Forecast of Typhoon Ramil (International name-Lupit) 20 Oct 2009

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp2209.gif
Here's the latest NASA Satellite View of Typhoon Ramil (International name-Lupit) 20 Oct 2009

Here's the latest 5 Day Forecast of Typhoon Ramil (International name-Lupit) 20 Oct 2009

Here's the latest Track Map View of Typhoon Ramil (International name-Lupit) 20 Oct 2009

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed October 21 2009):
Technical difficulties being encountered on our SMS (Text) service...being fixed now. Continuing issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TY LUPIT (RAMIL)
LUPIT (RAMIL) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 165 kph
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 160 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
TYPHOON LUPIT [RAMIL/22W/0920]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 022
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Wed 21 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #029
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
- · TyphoonLUPIT(RAMIL) downgraded into a Category 1 system with winds of 150 kph...moving WSW in the direction of Extreme Northern Luzon. Outer rainbands to reach the area tonight.
*Residents and visitors along Northern Luzon & Taiwan should closely monitor the progress of LUPIT (RAMIL).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: LUPIT is expected to decelerate as it tracks WSW w/in the next 12 to 24 hours. Its wind speed will slightly strengthen back to Category 2 (165 kph) as it moves closer to the coast of Northeastern Luzon due to improved atmospheric conditions (warm ocean moisture & unstable air). The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows LUPIT making landfall over the northern coast of Cagayan on Saturday morning, Oct 24 approx. 7-8AM - crossing Apayao and Ilocos Norte throughout Saturday. The core shall be off Laoag City on Sunday morning Oct 25 at around 7-8 AM. By Monday morning, Oct 26, LUPIT shall be moving slowly across the South China Sea, away from Ilocos Norte. *Alternate Forecast Scenario: There is a possibility that LUPIT might track Westward passing thru the Balintang Channel and spare Cagayan & Ilocos Norte from a direct hit, then move NW to Northward into Taiwan or SE China. This scenario is likely as some models deviates from the abovementioned forecast. The probability of this alternate forecast remains high, so a possible shift can happen. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other conditions must be considered. So please stay tuned.
+ Effects: LUPIT's circulation remains organized & large with a cloud-filled EYE. The outer & inner rain bands remains at sea...not yet affecting any major islands at this time, however, LUPIT may begin to affect Extreme Northern Luzon beginning tonight - if the forecast movement continues...deteriorating weather conditions can be expected within the next 48 to 72 hours. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 75 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along its rainbands...with isolated accumulations of 400 mm or more (very heavy to extreme rain) near the center of LUPIT particularly along its projected path. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Extreme Northern Luzon especially along Cagayan, Batanes-Calayan-Babuyan Island Group, Isabela & Ilocos Norte. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Northern Luzon & Taiwan.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Wed October 21 2009
Location of Eye: 19.8º N Lat 126.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 485 km (262 nm) ESE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 2: 540 km (290 nm) ENE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 3: 570 km (307 nm) ENE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 4: 585 km (315 nm) NE of Ilagan City
Distance 5: 620 km (335 nm) NE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 6: 655 km (355 nm) ENE of Laoag City
Distance 7: 780 km (420 nm) NNE of Naga City
Distance 8: 820 km (443 nm) NE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 150 kph (80 kts) near the Eye
Peak Wind Gusts: 185 kph (100 kts)
Rainbands' Rain Rate: 2 to 30 mm/hr (.02 to 1.2 in/hr) new!
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WSW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Cagayan-Ilocos Norte
Size (in Diameter): 890 km (480 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 33 ft (10.0 m)
T2K TrackMap #020 (for Public):12 PM PST Wed Oct 21
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:8 AM Wed Oct 21
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Wed Oct 21
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Image: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Image: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNAL # THREE (3)
Now In Effect:NORTHERN CAGAYAN & CALAYAN-BABUYAN-BATANES ISLAND GROUP.
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2)
Now In Effect: ILOCOS NORTE, APAYAO, REST OF CAGAYAN, ABRA, KALINGA, & ISABELA.
The above areas will experience stormy weather beginning tonight or tomorrow (with winds not exceeding 100 kph for #02 and more than 100 kph for #03). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts.
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect:ILOCOS SUR, MT. PROVINCE, IFUGAO, BENGUET, LA UNION, NUEVA VIZCAYA, QUIRINO, AURORA, NORTHERN QUEZON, & POLILLO ISLANDS.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph beginning tonight or tomorrow. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Numbers 3, 2 & 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides...while those living in coastal & beach-front areas are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible storm surge (aka. big waves) that could reach a high of 5 feet or more.
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/micro.html