After Typhoon Santi (Mirinae) another Tropical Depression 97W (local name: Tino) to hit NL

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon November 02 2009):

Today, Typhoon2000.com is celebrating its 12th year Anniversary...Thank you for all your support. Meanwhile, T2K is currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on the newly-formed TD 97W (UNNAMED), which may threaten Northern Luzon.

97W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 40 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97W [UNNAMED]
T2K ADVISORY NUMBER 002
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Mon 02 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Satfix & TCFA/JMA Warning
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

• ·  Tropical Depression97W(UNNAMED) has slightly intensified as it slows down over the Philippine Sea. This system is an area of approaching surge of Cold Northeast (NE) Monsoon which may affect and weaken its circulation, and push it SW-ward into Luzon. The approaching monsoon and this TD will bring strong winds w/ passing widespread rains across Northern & Central Luzon including Bicol Region
  
  *Residents and visitors along Luzon should closely monitor the progress of 97W (UNNAMED).
  
  *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: 97W is expected to track WSW to SW-ward within the next 12 to 24 hours and weaken. The 2-day T2K Short-Range forecast shows the system Luzon via Aurora tomorrow and will be over Central Luzon on Wednesday Nov 04 as a dissipating tropical cyclone over land. The surge of cold Northeast Monsoon will bring dry air into its circulation thus the dissipation of 97W. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

+ Effects: 97W's circulation remains intact but cold dry air from the surge of NE Monsoon from China is likely to kill the system. This system is not yet affecting any parts of the Philippines, however if its forecast track continues, its remnants will bring widespread rains across Northern Luzon tonight and tomorrow. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong northeasterly winds not in excess of 70 kph with occasional widespread showers, rains, squalls (subasko) and low temperatures can be expected along the following affected areas: BATANES GROUP, NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LUZON including BICOL REGION & NORTHERN VISAYAS. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

        Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Mon November 02 2009
Location of Center: 17.3º N Lat 125.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 385 km (208 nm) ESE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 2: 360 km (195 nm) ENE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 3: 370 km (200 nm) East of Ilagan City, Isabela
Distance 4: 410 km (220 nm) ESE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 5: 470 km (252 nm) NNE of Naga City
Distance 6: 540 km (292 nm) NE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Click to view: 97W's Latest Wind Analysis new!
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): N/A
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: Quasi-Stationary
Projected Area of Impact: Central Luzon
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
T2K TrackMap #02 (for Public):12 PM PST Mon Nov 01
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:6 AM Mon Nov 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

http://www.typhoon2000.ph/micro.html

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon November 02 2009):

Today, Typhoon2000.com is celebrating its 12th year Anniversary...Thank you for all your support. Meanwhile, T2K is currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on the newly-formed TD TINO (97W), which may threaten Eastern Luzon.

97W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 40 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 kph

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TINO [97W]
T2K ADVISORY NUMBER 003
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Mon 02 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Satfix/PAGASA (Signals)
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

• ·  Tropical Depression97W is now named by PAGASA as TINO...may turn southwestward (SW) towards the coast of Northern Quezon due to the approaching cold surge of the NE Monsoon. Widespread "on and off" rains expected across Luzon including Metro Manila and Bicol Region.
  
  *Residents and visitors along Luzon should closely monitor the progress of TINO (97W).
  
  *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: TINO is expected to continue moving SW-ward within the next 12 to 24 hours and dissipate. The 24-hr T2K Short-Range forecast shows the system dissipating along the coast of Northern Quezon as the surge of cold Northeast Monsoon will bring dry air into its circulation. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

+ Effects: TINO's circulation has become more compact and smaller as cold dry air from the surge of NE Monsoon from China continues to affect the system. Within the next 2 days, its remnants will bring scattered to widespread rains across Luzon particularly Northern Quezon, Bicol Region and Central Luzon including Metro Manila. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong northeasterly winds not in excess of 70 kph with occasional widespread showers, rains, squalls (subasko) and low temperatures can be expected along the following affected areas: BATANES GROUP, NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LUZON including METRO MANILA, BICOL REGION & NORTHERN VISAYAS. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Mon November 02 2009
Location of Center: 17.1º N Lat 124.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 265 km (143 nm) ENE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 2: 275 km (148 nm) East of Ilagan City, Isabela
Distance 3: 290 km (157 nm) ESE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 4: 330 km (178 nm) ENE of Baler, Aurora
Distance 5: 410 km (220 nm) NNE of Naga City
Distance 6: 450 km (245 nm) NE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Click to view: 97W's Latest Wind Analysis new!
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): N/A
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: SW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Northern Quezon
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
T2K TrackMap #02 (for Public):12 PM PST Mon Nov 01
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:6 AM Mon Nov 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
Now In Effect:ISABELA, CAGAYAN, BATANES, BABUYAN & CALAYAN ISLANDS.

The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 55 kph tonight & tomorrow. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides...while those living in coastal & beach-front areas are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible storm surge (aka. big waves).

http://www.typhoon2000.ph/micro.html

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tue November 03 2009):

Yesterday, Typhoon2000.com celebrated its 12th year Anniversary...Thank you for all your support. Meanwhile, T2K is currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TD TINO (24W), which may threaten Eastern & Central Luzon.

TINO (24W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 kph

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TINO [24W]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 006
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Tue 03 November 2009
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

• ·  Tropical DepressionTINO(24W) dissipating off Northern Camarines Sur...now in the vicinity of San Miguel Bay or 25 km. NNW of Typhoon2000.com Weather Station. Click here to view image of Tino's weak center. Windy conditions w/ drizzle to light rains can be expected.
  
  *All Philippine Storm Warning Signals elsewhere has already been lifted, as PAGASA dissipates TINO into a Low Pressure Area (LPA)..
  
  *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: TINO is expected to continue moving SW within the next 12 to 24 hours and is expected to weaken into a tropical disturbance (LPA) later and may dissipate along the mountains of Camarines Norte and Southern Quezon.

+ Effects: TINO's circulation has been shattered by the strong surge of cold NE Monsoon. This system will dissipate along the mountains of Camarines Norte and Southern Quezon. Only drizzle to light rains w/ strong winds not exceeding 60 kph can be expected today across Northern Bicol Region and Southern Quezon...Sunlight conditions can also be expected as the depression's clouds are currently thin especially near its low-level circulation center (LLCC). 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 25 mm (light rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 50 mm (moderate rain) near the center of TINO. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Bicol Region, Quezon, Northern Visayas and Aurora. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge.

+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong northeasterly winds not in excess of 70 kph with occasional widespread showers, rains, squalls (subasko) and low temperatures can be expected along the following affected areas: BATANES GROUP, NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LUZON including METRO MANILA, BICOL REGION & NORTHERN VISAYAS. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

        Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Tue November 03 2009
Location of Center: 13.8º N Lat 123.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 10 km (5 nm) East of Sipocot, Cam Sur
Distance 2: 11 km (6 nm) NW of Calabanga, Cam Sur
Distance 3: 22 km (12 nm) West of Tinambac, Cam Sur
Distance 4: 25 km (13 nm) NNW of Metro Naga/CWC
Distance 5: 40 km (22 nm) SE of Daet, Cam Norte
Distance 6: 75 km (40 nm) West of Gota Beach, Caramoan
Distance 7: 175 km (95 nm) East of Lucena City
Distance 8: 235 km (127 nm) ESE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Click to view: TINO's Latest Wind Analysis new!
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 50 mm.
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: SW @ 13 kph (07 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Camarines Provinces
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
T2K TrackMap #04a (for Public):12 PM PST Tue Nov 03
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:8 AM Tue Nov 03
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1-day Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

http://www.typhoon2000.ph/micro.html